Events

Prof Futter’s Zoom presentation is available online at: Link

This exciting presentation included discussion of this project, outlining the priorities of NUCLEARREV.

Prof Andrew Futter is on a panel at this event, taking place on 3rd February 2021.

Invitation to attend SCRAP’s webinar: Beyond Aegis: Strategic Stability and Emerging Technologies, on the 3rd February 2021 between 17:00-18:30 GMT

In November 2020, for the first time ever, an Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICMB) was shot down by a U.S. warship: the Aegis Combat System. Such recent advancements in Ballistic Missile Defence (BMD) systems and nuclear and conventional weapons pose a serious threat to global security.

How are emerging technologies shaping global security and stability? What implications do capabilities like the Aegis Combat System have for geopolitical dynamics? What changes in U.S. foreign policy can we expect to see with the Biden administration?

Our webinar is amongst the first to discuss the significance of the successful Aegis test for global stability. The webinar will explore the most recent developments in international relations alongside the politics and policies behind global security and powerful emerging technologies.

Panel:

Mr Ankit Panda, Stanton Senior Fellow in Nuclear Policy

Ms. Eva-Nour Repussard, Researcher, SCRAP Weapons

Mr Eric Gomez, Director, Defense Policy Studies, Cato Institute

Ms. Nancy Ehrenberg-Peters, Researcher, SCRAP Weapons

Professor Andrew Futter, University of Leicester

Mr Pavel Podvig, Director, Russian Nuclear Forces Project

Professor Dan Plesch, Director, CISD, SOAS

Register Here

In this Oslo Nuclear Project Roundtable, we discuss whether modern conventional military capabilities can supplant nuclear weapons for deterrent and warfighting purposes, and the future relationship between nuclear and conventional deterrence.  

Time and place: Jan. 13, 2021 2:30 PM–4:00 PM, CEST, Zoom

If you would like to participate in this online seminar, please register here. All participants will receive a Zoom invitation in advance.

In a new research paper published in the Journal of Strategic Studies (Russian nuclear strategy and conventional inferiority), Dr. Kristin Ven Bruusgaard argues that the conventional balance of forces directly impacts nuclear strategy, and describes how conventional deterrence increasingly plays a role in Russian deterrence strategy.

But can modern conventional capabilities supplant nuclear weapons for deterrent and warfighting purposes, and what will the relationship between nuclear and conventional deterrence be in the future? How do other states beyond Russia perceive of the utility of conventional versus nuclear deterrence?

The Oslo Nuclear Project is convening a roundtable discussion on how nuclear and conventional deterrence is evolving in the contemporary era. The conversation will focus on how different actors such as Russia, the United States and NATO make use of nuclear and conventional capabilities to deter adversaries and contemplate how emerging technologies affect the future of nuclear and conventional deterrence. The panel will include:

Kristin Ven Bruusgaard, Postdoctoral Fellow (Assistant Professor) of Political Science, University of Oslo  

Alexander Lanoszka, Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of Waterloo, Canada

Andrew Futter, Professor of International Politics, University of Leicester, UK

Corentin Brustlein, Director of the Center of Security Studies, French Institute of International Relations (Ifri)

Speaker bios: 

Kristin Ven Bruusgaard is a Postdoctoral Fellow (Assistant Professor) of Political Science at the University of Oslo. Her research focuses on Soviet and Russian nuclear strategy, nuclear and conventional deterrence, and crisis dynamics. She has previously been a Nuclear Security Postdoctoral Fellow and a Stanton Nuclear Security Predoctoral Fellow at the Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC), Stanford University, a Research Fellow at the Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies (IFS), and a senior security policy analyst in the Norwegian Armed Forces. She holds a Ph.D. in Defence Studies from King’s College London and an MA in Security Studies from Georgetown University and is a certified language officer in the Norwegian Army. Her work has been published in Security Dialogue, Journal of Strategic Studies, Survival, War on the Rocks, Texas National Security Review, and Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

Alexander Lanoszka is Assistant Professor of International Relations at the University of Waterloo. His research agenda encompasses international security, alliance politics, and theories of war, with special focus on Central and Northeastern Europe. He sits on the editorial board of the journal Contemporary Security Policy and is an Honorary Fellow at City, University of London, where he previously taught prior to coming to Waterloo. He held fellowships at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Dartmouth College upon finishing his PhD at Princeton University. He has published articles in such journals as International SecurityInternational AffairsSecurity Studies, and The Nonproliferation Review. His book Atomic Assurance: The Alliance Politics of Nuclear Proliferation (with Cornell University Press) examines how alliances can best deter, and reverse, efforts at nuclear proliferation by states that receive security guarantors from the United States.

Andrew Futter is Professor of International Politics, and former Director of Research for Politics and International Relations, at the University of Leicester, UK.  He has written widely on nuclear weapons issues and the impact of disruptive emerging technology, publishing seven books and dozens of peer reviewed and professional articles.  His most recent publication is the second edition of his “Politics of Nuclear Weapons” textbook (Palgrave 2020) and his most recent monograph is “Hacking the Bomb” (Georgetown 2018), which unpacks the cyber threat to nuclear weapons.  He is an Honorary Fellow at the Institute for Conflict, Cooperation and Security at the University of Birmingham and a member of the Cyber-Nuclear Threats Task Force run by the US-based Nuclear Threat Initiative.  Andrew was previously a Visiting Fellow at the Norwegian Nobel Pease Institute in Norway, the Center for Arms Control and Nonproliferation in Washington DC, and the James Martin Centre for Nonproliferation Studies in Monterey, California, and a member of the Euro-Atlantic Next Generation Leaders Network.  He is currently working on a 5-year, £1.5million project funded by the European Research Council investigating the technological and political drivers of a shift towards a Third Nuclear Age.

Corentin Brustlein is the Director of the Security Studies Center at the French Institute of International Relations (Ifri). Before assuming this position in 2015, he had been the head of the institute’s Deterrence and Proliferation program. His areas of expertise include nuclear and conventional deterrence, strategic stability and arms control, U.S. and French defense policies, and force projection and conventional warfare. At Ifri, he is also the editor of the Proliferation Papers, and he has contributed since 2008 to the various activities conducted by the joint civil-military research unit established at Ifri (LRD). Dr. Brustlein holds a Ph.D. in political science from the Jean Moulin University of Lyon, and has taught strategic studies, strategic analysis, and international relations theory at Sciences Po Paris, the Jean Moulin University of Lyon, and other academic institutions. He blogs at Ultima Ratio.

Tags: Nuclear Weapons, Strategy, Security Studies, Military operation, Europe, Russia

Published Dec. 15, 2020 4:03 PM – Last modified Jan. 5, 2021 11:47 AM

On 15th-16th December the University of Leicester will be hosting the annual BISA Global Nuclear Order Conference, with six excellent panels and a keynote talk from former UN High Representative for Disarmament Angela Kane.  For more details see the conference programme attached.

Hosted by the University of Leicester, 15th-16th December 2020 via Microsoft Teams.

15.10.2020
Andrew Futter

There aren’t any easy answers to potential risks posed by the AI-Automation-Nuclear nexus, but a starting point has to be a greater understanding of the key concepts and an appreciation of how the deployment of such technologies could play out. In the nuclear realm, and especially now in the increasing digital global nuclear realm, perceptions and the potential for misunderstanding will be as important as reality, writes Andrew Futter, Professor of International Politics at the University of Leicester.

Read more at:

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/artificial-intelligence-autonomy-and-nuclear-stability/

Microsoft Teams15 – 16 December

A joint event from our Global Nuclear Order Working Group and University of Leicester.

The Global Nuclear Order Working Group are delighted to welcome you to the seventh annual conference, ‘A nuclear order in flux? Surviving the next 75 years’ hosted virtually by the University of Leicester on 15 and 16 December 2020.

Further information about this event is available here.